Algorithmic cycle predictions based on the 1064-day expansion and 364-day compression model.
Expansion Phase
1,064
days · ATL → ATH
Compression Phase
364
days · ATH → ATL
Full Cycle
1,428
days · ~3.91 years
Last Event
ATH
20 Oct 2025
Cycle Pulse Chart
2022 – 2038 · Expansion (1064 days) / Compression (364 days) wave
Bitcoin's market cycles exhibit a consistent two-phase structure: a long explosive expansion phase followed by a shorter violent compression phase. The 1,064/364 framework quantifies this asymmetry into a predictive timing model anchored to the most recent confirmed cycle low — the FTX bottom of November 2022.
Cycle anchor: November 21, 2022 (FTX collapse bottom at $15,476). Expansion phase: 1,064 days → projects ATH around October 20, 2025. Compression phase: 364 days → projects next ATL around October 19, 2026. Full cycle: 1,428 days (~3.91 years). The ratio 1,064:364 ≈ 2.92:1 represents the expansion-to-compression asymmetry observed in Bitcoin market structure.
FTX collapse bottom at $15,476. Confirmed structural low — anchor point for the model.
1,064 days from anchor. ATH confirmed near this date — model validation point.
364 days after projected ATH. Next cycle bottom prediction. Cycle 2 begins here.
Next 1,064-day expansion phase projected to begin from Cycle 2 bottom.
Model is calibrated to one cycle — limited multi-cycle historical validation available.
The 1,064/364 ratio fits observed Bitcoin cycle asymmetry across the measured period.
Current position within the model is unambiguous — compression phase approaching.
This model is anchored to a single historical data point. It has not been validated across multiple independent cycles. The 1,064 and 364 day figures may not repeat precisely in future cycles. This is proprietary research, not established financial theory. Treat it as one data point among many, not as a prediction.
Disclaimer: This model is for educational purposes only. Past cycle behaviour does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.