Why This Exists
Most Bitcoin analysis is either too noisy or locked behind a paywall. Twitter threads disappear. Paywalled dashboards are expensive. And most free tools are cluttered with ads or designed to sell you something.
BitcoinCycle.io was built to be the opposite: a clean, honest, permanently free dashboard for Bitcoin cycle intelligence. No subscription. No ads. No affiliation with any exchange or financial product beyond clearly disclosed referral links.
The goal is simple: help Bitcoiners understand where we are in the cycle — so they can make better decisions with less noise.
What We Believe
Every major price move in Bitcoin history has followed a recognisable 4-year structure anchored to the halving. This is not a theory — it is a pattern that has repeated without exception since 2012.
On-chain data, miner behaviour, and holder psychology are more reliable cycle signals than media sentiment, price predictions, or influencer opinions. We track the data.
Every model on this site has its formula, data source, track record, and limitations published. No black boxes. No vague claims. If you want to verify our methodology, you can.
We have no venture funding, no premium tier, and no financial product to sell you. Referral links are disclosed openly. This keeps our incentives aligned with users, not with advertisers.
The best insight is the one you actually use. A clear answer — Late Markup, Risk: HIGH — is more useful than 40 charts you don't have time to interpret.
What BitcoinCycle.io Is
Halving, Time Compression, Global Liquidity, Holder Behavior, Miner Revenue, Derivatives, NUPL, SOPR — each with full methodology.
A 0–100 composite signal that aggregates all 8 models into a single number. Currently: 72 — Caution zone.
Full historical timeline from 2012 to projected 2028, with halvings, tops, bottoms and current position marked.
Cycle 1, 2, and 3 overlaid day-by-day from each bottom. See the structural similarity — and the divergences.
10 curated external frameworks from independent creators — Pi Cycle, S2F, Rainbow Chart, Hash Ribbons and more.
Every formula, every data source, every track record. Full transparency. No black boxes.
How It Stays Free
BitcoinCycle.io is sustained by clearly disclosed referral links to trading platforms (OKX, Hyperliquid, TradingView, Koinly) and voluntary Bitcoin donations from the community.
These relationships are disclosed on every page. We only recommend platforms we would use ourselves. Referral income does not influence our cycle analysis or model outputs.
If this platform has helped you — consider sharing it with other Bitcoiners, or sending a few sats to the donation address. Every contribution helps keep the lights on and the data free.
Important Disclaimer
BitcoinCycle.io is an independent educational research platform. Nothing on this site constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. All cycle models, confidence scores, and phase classifications are for informational purposes only. Past cycle behaviour does not guarantee future results. Bitcoin is a high-risk asset. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. We are not affiliated with Glassnode, PlanB, Philip Swift, Charles Edwards, or any referenced indicator creator. All third-party names and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.